Universidad Catolicavs
Defensa Y Justicia
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/25/2025, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Universidad Catolica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00