Universidad Catolicavs
Cruzeiro
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/5/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Universidad Catolica are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.1 against 60.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80