Universidad Catolicavs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2025, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universidad Catolica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 44.8-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00