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Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

Home
WL
21
Full time
Barcelona SC

Barcelona SC

Away
DD
Olimpico Atahualpa
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Universidad Catolica(47%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Universidad Catolica
47%
Draw
27%
Barcelona SC
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Universidad Catolica
54
Barcelona SC
18
Defence
Universidad Catolica
46
Barcelona SC
82
Momentum
Universidad Catolica
50
Barcelona SC
33
Danger (xG)
Universidad Catolica
1.35
Barcelona SC
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Universidad Catolica)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Barcelona SC)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Universidad Catolica)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Barcelona SC)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
WLL
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
DDW

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Universidad Catolica47%
Draw27%
Barcelona SC26%

Universidad Catolica leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Universidad Catolica head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Olimpico Atahualpa in mixed form (WL), while Barcelona SC arrive in mixed form (DD). Universidad Catolica have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Barcelona SC over 2 games.

The model rates Universidad Catolica's attack at 54/100 against a 82/100 Barcelona SC defence, and Barcelona SC's attack at 18/100 against a 46/100 Universidad Catolica backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Universidad Catolica have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Barcelona SC have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Universidad Catolica and Barcelona SC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Universidad Catolica to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Universidad Catolica 4685%, Draw 2715%, Barcelona SC 2600%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

W
vs LDU de Quito
15 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Mushuc Runa SC
6 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Independiente del Valle
13 May 2026
02
Barcelona SC

Barcelona SC

D
vs Guayaquil City FC
16 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Emelec
13 Jul 2026
00
W
@ Insutec
12 May 2026
42

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

GoalVio's model predicts Universidad Catolica to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more