Universidad CatolicavsAucas

Universidad Catolica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aucas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.