Universidad CatolicavsAlianza Petrolera

Universidad Catolica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alianza Petrolera are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.