Universidad CatolicavsAlianza Lima

Universidad Catolica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 62.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.