GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Worksop Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

United of Manchester are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Worksop Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Worksop Town hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Worksop Town holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Worksop Town

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Worksop Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

United of ManchesterLWWWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Worksop TownLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
United of ManchesterWorksop Town
16.7Attack61.0
33.3Defence60.2
16.7Form59.3
26.2Power59.7
1.03xG1.94
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