United of Manchestervs
Avro
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
United of Manchester 3-4 Avro
Original prediction
Avro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 30.7% | 19.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.9% | 19.7% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.4% | 60.5% | 17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Avro
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Avro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20