GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 4/2/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

United Nordic are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sandviken are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandviken hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 72.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Ettan - Norra, while Sandviken holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sandviken

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

United NordicLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
SandvikenLDDLD

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
United NordicSandviken
68.9Attack85.6
57.8Defence64.4
68.9Form72.2
66.6Power72.2
1.58xG2.03
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