United Nordicvs
Norrby IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
United Nordic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
United Nordic 2-1 Norrby IF
Original prediction
United Nordic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.6% | 43.0% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.8% | 24.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.7% | 32.4% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
United Nordic
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
United Nordic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40