United Nordicvs
IFK Varnamo
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
United Nordic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
United Nordic 2-4 IFK Varnamo
Original prediction
United Nordic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.8% | 58.5% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.3% | 21.4% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.9% | 20.1% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
United Nordic
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
United Nordic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80