United Nordicvs
IFK Norrkoping
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Norrkoping · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
United Nordic 1-3 IFK Norrkoping
Original prediction
IFK Norrkoping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 27.2% | 21.2% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.8% | 23.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 47.0% | 55.3% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
IFK Norrkoping
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
IFK Norrkoping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60