GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 5/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

United Nordic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

United Nordic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Falkenbergs FF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Falkenbergs FF hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Superettan, while United Nordic holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

United Nordic

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

10.8%

United Nordic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

United NordicDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Falkenbergs FFLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
United NordicFalkenbergs FF
53.7Attack63.0
51.9Defence50.0
51.9Form59.3
54.0Power59.0
1.70xG1.69
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