United Arab Emiratesvs
Yemen
COMPLETEDWorld · Gulf Cup of Nations · 9/24/2026, 3:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
United Arab Emirates · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
United Arab Emirates 4-0 Yemen
Original prediction
United Arab Emirates
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.7% | 52.2% | -20.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.9% | 24.9% | 7.0 pts |
| Away | 9.69 | 9.4% | 22.9% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
United Arab Emirates
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
United Arab Emirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40