Unirea Sloboziavs
Chindia Targoviste
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chindia Targoviste · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unirea Slobozia 0-1 Chindia Targoviste
Original prediction
Chindia Targoviste
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 28.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 25.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.4% | 46.1% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Chindia Targoviste
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Chindia Targoviste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40