Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uničov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uničov 3-2 Hodonín
Original prediction
Uničov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.3% | 55.3% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.7% | 22.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.0% | 22.2% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Uničov
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Uničov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UničovWWWWD
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HodonínWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UničovHodonín
72.2Attack47.2
61.1Defence63.9
72.2Form47.2
69.1Power53.2
1.78xG0.96