Unionistas de Salamancavs
UD Ourense
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unionistas de Salamanca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Unionistas de Salamanca 0-0 UD Ourense, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Unionistas de Salamanca 3-1 UD Ourense
Original prediction
Unionistas de Salamanca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.7% | 39.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.3% | 31.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.9% | 29.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Unionistas de Salamanca 0–0 UD Ourense
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Unionistas de Salamanca
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Unionistas de Salamanca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60