Unionistas de Salamancavs
Cultural Leonesa
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Unionistas de Salamanca 0-0 Cultural Leonesa, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Unionistas de Salamanca 2-0 Cultural Leonesa
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.9% | 35.8% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.8% | 32.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.3% | 32.1% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Unionistas de Salamanca 0–0 Cultural Leonesa
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60