Unionistas de Salamancavs
Athletic Club II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unionistas de Salamanca 2-1 Athletic Club II
Original prediction
Athletic Club II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.7% | 28.3% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.2% | 25.0% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.1% | 46.8% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club II
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Athletic Club II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40