GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union St. Gilloise · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union St. Gilloise are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toulouse are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union St. Gilloise

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union St. GilloiseLDWWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ToulouseDDLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Union St. GilloiseToulouse
33.3Attack37.5
66.7Defence54.2
58.3Form50.0
55.2Power49.8
1.11xG0.78
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