Union St. GilloisevsSC Braga

Union St. Gilloise are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SC Braga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.