Union St. Gilloisevs
Nice
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union St. Gilloise · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union St. Gilloise are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nice are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 28.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union St. Gilloise
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40