GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liverpool · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union St. Gilloise are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Liverpool are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Liverpool holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liverpool

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union St. GilloiseWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LiverpoolWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union St. GilloiseLiverpool
33.3Attack96.7
66.7Defence60.0
58.3Form70.0
55.2Power72.1
0.90xG1.68
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