GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/26/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union St. Gilloise · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Union St. Gilloise are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lask Linz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union St. Gilloise

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union St. GilloiseWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lask LinzWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Union St. GilloiseLask Linz
33.3Attack37.5
66.7Defence41.7
58.3Form29.2
55.2Power37.6
1.40xG0.75
View match centre →