GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union St. Gilloise · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union St. Gilloise are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bodo/Glimt are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union St. Gilloise

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union St. GilloiseWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Bodo/GlimtWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
33.3Attack58.3
66.7Defence47.9
58.3Form47.9
55.2Power52.4
1.24xG1.15
View match centre →