Union St. Gilloisevs
AS Roma
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Union St. Gilloise are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AS Roma are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80