Union St. Gilloisevs
Anderlecht
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/30/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union St. Gilloise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union St. Gilloise 3-0 Anderlecht
Original prediction
Union St. Gilloise
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 55.1% | 48.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.9% | 26.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.69 | 20.0% | 25.5% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Union St. Gilloise
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80