Union St. Gilloisevs
Anderlecht
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 7/28/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union St. Gilloise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Union St. Gilloise are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDDW), averaging 2.75 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Anderlecht are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union St. Gilloise
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.75/0.25
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80