GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 7/28/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union St. Gilloise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union St. Gilloise are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDDW), averaging 2.75 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Anderlecht are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union St. Gilloise

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union St. GilloiseWDDW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.75/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
AnderlechtWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
83.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
74.3Power53.0
1.77xG1.08
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