Union St. Gilloisevs
Ajax
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/13/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union St. Gilloise · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Union St. Gilloise are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ajax are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union St. Gilloise
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60