GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/7/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union Santa Fe are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union Santa FeDLLDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PalestinoWDLWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Union Santa FePalestino
11.1Attack14.3
55.6Defence66.7
22.2Form28.6
33.0Power39.6
0.75xG0.75
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