GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/14/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Union Santa Fe are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 73.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union Santa FeLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Mushuc Runa SCLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union Santa FeMushuc Runa SC
11.1Attack59.3
55.6Defence74.1
22.2Form81.5
33.0Power73.8
0.51xG1.58
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