Union Santa Fevs
Instituto Cordoba
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/8/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Santa Fe 0-0 Instituto Cordoba, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Santa Fe 3-2 Instituto Cordoba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 32.5% | 35.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.8% | 31.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.7% | 33.1% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Projected Score
Union Santa Fe 0–0 Instituto Cordoba
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20