GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Union Santa Fe are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gimnasia M. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Santa Fe hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Union Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Santa Fe

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Union Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union Santa FeLDLDD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia M.LWDWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Union Santa FeGimnasia M.
47.0Attack28.3
54.5Defence60.0
42.4Form41.7
49.5Power45.7
1.23xG0.70
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