Union Santa Fevs
Estudiantes L.P.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Santa Fe 0-0 Estudiantes L.P., with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Santa Fe 3-1 Estudiantes L.P.
Original prediction
Estudiantes L.P.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 35.3% | 28.9% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 30.3% | 29.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 34.4% | 41.5% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
Union Santa Fe 0–0 Estudiantes L.P.
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80