GGOALVIO

Latvia · Cup · 5/28/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Santa Fe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Union Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dobele Allegro are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Dobele Allegro hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Cup, while Union Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Santa Fe

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Union Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union Santa FeWLDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dobele AllegroW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Union Santa FeDobele Allegro
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
36.7Power42.7
2.48xG2.12
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