GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/3/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportivo Riestra are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Santa Fe hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

27.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union Santa FeWLDDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo RiestraDLDDD

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Union Santa FeDeportivo Riestra
47.0Attack18.3
54.5Defence75.0
42.4Form28.3
49.5Power42.2
0.78xG0.55
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