GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/1/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruzeiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union Santa Fe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cruzeiro

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union Santa FeLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CruzeiroWDDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Union Santa FeCruzeiro
11.1Attack41.0
55.6Defence74.4
22.2Form59.0
33.0Power60.0
0.49xG1.08
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