Union San Felipevs
San Marcos de Arica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 3/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Union San Felipe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.2% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Marcos de Arica
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
22.2%
San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40