GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Union San Felipe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.2% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Marcos de Arica

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

22.2%

San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union San FelipeLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Marcos de AricaDDDDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Union San FelipeSan Marcos de Arica
26.3Attack40.4
40.4Defence75.4
35.1Form52.6
36.4Power57.8
0.41xG1.39
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