Union San Felipevs
San Luis
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Luis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union San Felipe 0-1 San Luis
Original prediction
San Luis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.3% | 16.6% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.0% | 22.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.7% | 60.6% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
San Luis
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
San Luis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80