Union San Felipevs
Deportes Temuco
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/18/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Temuco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union San Felipe 2-2 Deportes Temuco
Original prediction
Deportes Temuco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.7% | 18.6% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 23.0% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 40.0% | 58.4% | 18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Temuco
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Deportes Temuco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80