Union San Felipevs
Deportes Santa Cruz
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 8/29/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Santa Cruz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union San Felipe 0-0 Deportes Santa Cruz
Original prediction
Deportes Santa Cruz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.2% | 29.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.5% | 26.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.3% | 44.7% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Santa Cruz
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Deportes Santa Cruz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40