GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/29/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Santa Cruz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Union San Felipe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportes Santa Cruz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Santa Cruz hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Primera B, while Deportes Santa Cruz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Santa Cruz

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

14.1%

Deportes Santa Cruz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union San FelipeWDLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes Santa CruzWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Union San FelipeDeportes Santa Cruz
26.3Attack42.1
40.4Defence40.4
35.1Form28.1
36.4Power39.6
1.01xG1.38
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