Union San Felipevs
Deportes Iquique
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Iquique · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union San Felipe 0-1 Deportes Iquique, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union San Felipe 0-2 Deportes Iquique
Original prediction
Deportes Iquique
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 33.0% | 28.7% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.2% | 29.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.9% | 41.7% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Union San Felipe 0–1 Deportes Iquique
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Iquique
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Deportes Iquique has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60