Union San Felipevs
Deportes Copiapo
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Copiapo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union San Felipe 1-4 Deportes Copiapo
Original prediction
Deportes Copiapo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.6% | 29.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.2% | 29.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.3% | 41.0% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Copiapo
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Deportes Copiapo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80