GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union San Felipe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Curico Unido are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Curico Unido hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union San FelipeLDLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Curico UnidoDLWLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Union San FelipeCurico Unido
26.3Attack33.3
40.4Defence48.1
35.1Form35.2
36.4Power41.7
0.87xG1.10
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