Union Saint-Gilloise IIvs
Standard Liège II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Saint-Gilloise II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Saint-Gilloise II 1-0 Standard Liège II
Original prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.7% | 41.5% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 27.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.7% | 30.8% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Union Saint-Gilloise II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60