Union Saint-Gilloise IIvs
RWDM
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RWDM · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Saint-Gilloise II 4-2 RWDM
Original prediction
RWDM
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.2% | 29.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 29.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.0% | 41.0% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
RWDM
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
RWDM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20