Union Saint-Gilloise IIvs
Rochefort
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Saint-Gilloise II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Saint-Gilloise II 0-2 Rochefort
Original prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.4% | 40.8% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.2% | 26.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.3% | 32.6% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Union Saint-Gilloise II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60