Union Saint-Gilloise IIvs
Habay-la-Neuve
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/5/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Saint-Gilloise II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Saint-Gilloise II 2-0 Habay-la-Neuve
Original prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 45.7% | 41.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 27.9% | 32.5% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Union Saint-Gilloise II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60