Union Plaanivs
PuiU Helsinki
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PuiU Helsinki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Plaani 4-2 PuiU Helsinki
Original prediction
PuiU Helsinki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.6% | 32.9% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 20.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 46.5% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
PuiU Helsinki
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
PuiU Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40